Power rankings · stage picks

Singapore Major predictions and power rankings

Who goes deep in Singapore, who falls in Stage 1 and who is underrated by the seeding. Our model plays the event 20,000 times; MOUZ, Team Vitality and FURIA come out on top.

Power rankings for the Singapore Major

All 32 teams ordered by their chance to win the event. Playoff and final chances show how deep each team goes on average.

Singapore Major power rankings
TeamStageHLTVPlayoffsFinalTitle
MOUZStage 3#492%38%23%
Team VitalityStage 3#289%32%18%
FURIAStage 3#186%29%16%
Aurora GamingStage 3#581%23%12%
Team SpiritStage 3#378%21%10%
BetBoomStage 3#768%15%6.5%
Team FalconsStage 3#665%14%5.7%
LegacyStage 3#1250%6.9%2.2%
FUT EsportsStage 2#834%5.8%2.2%
Nemiga GamingStage 2#923%3.1%1.0%
G2 EsportsStage 2#1118%2.0%0.5%
1winStage 2#1616%1.5%0.4%
Natus VincereStage 2#1015%1.6%0.4%
The MongolZStage 2#1511%1.1%0.3%
MIBRStage 2#1411%1.0%0.3%
AstralisStage 2#1913%1.3%0.3%
PARIVISIONStage 1#137.0%0.6%0.2%
Ninjas in PyjamasStage 1#237.7%0.8%0.2%
FaZe ClanStage 1#205.6%0.5%0.1%
HEROICStage 1#266.4%0.5%0.1%
Team LiquidStage 1#185.0%0.4%0.1%
Eternal FireStage 1#224.3%0.3%0.1%
100 ThievesStage 1#333.8%0.3%<0.1%
9zStage 1#173.0%0.2%<0.1%
DENDELEStage 1#312.1%0.1%<0.1%
M80Stage 1#212.6%0.2%<0.1%
WildcardStage 1#440.9%<0.1%<0.1%
ImperialStage 1#501.1%0.1%<0.1%
BC.Game EsportsStage 1#490.3%<0.1%<0.1%
FlyQuestStage 1#600.2%<0.1%<0.1%
Chinggis WarriorsStage 1#650.1%<0.1%<0.1%
Lynn Vision GamingStage 1#460.1%<0.1%<0.1%

From favourites to long shots

The field splits into four groups by title and playoff chance:

Favourites

Title chance of 10% or more. They start in Stage 3 and skip the best-of-one openers. MOUZ, Team Vitality, FURIA, Aurora Gaming and Team Spirit.

Contenders

Strong enough to win the event, but they need a good bracket draw and a clean Stage 3. BetBoom, Team Falcons, Legacy and FUT Esports.

Dark horses

A playoff run in the arena is realistic; the trophy would be an upset. Nemiga Gaming, G2 Esports, 1win, Natus Vincere, The MongolZ, MIBR and Astralis.

Long shots

Every round is a fight for survival. Their value for bettors lies in single matches, not outrights. PARIVISION, Ninjas in Pyjamas, FaZe Clan, HEROIC, Team Liquid, Eternal Fire, 100 Thieves, 9z, DENDELE, M80, Wildcard, Imperial, BC.Game Esports, FlyQuest, Chinggis Warriors and Lynn Vision Gaming.

Stage 1 predictions

Sixteen teams, best-of-one openers and only eight places in Stage 2. The table is sorted by the chance to advance:

Stage 1 predictions
TeamSeedAdvance3–00–3
Ninjas in Pyjamas173%21%5.7%
PARIVISION272%20%5.6%
HEROIC369%19%6.0%
FaZe Clan467%18%6.3%
Team Liquid564%17%6.7%
Eternal Fire662%16%7.4%
100 Thieves760%17%7.4%
9z857%15%8.0%
M80952%12%11%
DENDELE1048%11%12%
Imperial1139%8.1%15%
Wildcard1237%7.8%16%
BC.Game Esports1330%5.8%19%
FlyQuest1427%5.4%21%
Chinggis Warriors1522%4.2%25%
Lynn Vision Gaming1621%3.9%27%

The model’s safest Stage 1 picks are Ninjas in Pyjamas, PARIVISION and HEROIC; the opening round is best-of-one, so upsets in Round 1 are common.

Stage 2 predictions

Eight seeded teams wait for the eight Stage 1 survivors. The seeded teams are favoured, but opening Stage 2 matches are still best-of-one:

Stage 2 predictions for the seeded teams
TeamSeedAdvance3–00–3
FUT Esports176%24%4.9%
Nemiga Gaming270%20%6.1%
G2 Esports364%17%8.0%
1win461%16%8.1%
Natus Vincere560%16%8.1%
Astralis656%14%9.4%
MIBR853%13%10%
The MongolZ753%13%10%

Stage 1 qualifiers join this table after 27 November; the picks are updated when the stage is drawn.

Stage 3 predictions

The top eight seeds enter here, and every match is best-of-three. Eight teams leave for the arena:

Stage 3 predictions for the seeded teams
TeamSeedPlayoffs3–00–3
MOUZ192%39%1.1%
Team Vitality289%34%1.3%
FURIA386%28%1.7%
Aurora Gaming481%23%2.3%
Team Spirit578%21%2.5%
BetBoom668%13%4.1%
Team Falcons765%13%4.5%
Legacy850%7.8%7.8%

Stage 3 chances already include the risk of meeting a strong Stage 2 qualifier.

Our Stage 1 Pick'Em

The editorial team’s ten Stage 1 picks, built on the tables above:

Major Pick'Em · Final picks

Stage 1 picks

3:0Undefeated

CS2 Major Betting editorial team · picks lock on

Reasons, the comparison with the model and the Stage 2, Stage 3 and playoff picks are in the Singapore Major Pick'Em picks.

Underrated and overrated by the seeding

Seeds follow Valve’s standings, while HLTV’s ranking weighs recent results differently. Where the two lists disagree, the seeding may misjudge a team:

Match-by-match picks appear on the Major matches and predictions list once the pairings are out.

Frequently asked questions

Questions about the Singapore Major predictions.

Who will win the PGL Major Singapore 2026?

The model favourite is MOUZ (23%), ahead of Team Vitality and FURIA. No team wins more than one Major in four simulations.

Which Stage 1 teams are most likely to advance?

Ninjas in Pyjamas, PARIVISION, HEROIC, FaZe Clan.

How are the predictions made?

From 20,000 simulations of the full Major with team strength from Valve standings points, plus editorial notes on line-ups and form.